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No one aboard would have predicted trouble ahead when on March 3 Polaris departed Acapulco for the Marquesas, the longest scheduled leg of the cruise. The weather was sunny and warm as students settled down to shipboard tasks, anticipating glorious landfalls at islands with such magical names as Tahiti, Bora-Bora, Nuku Hiva, and Hawaii. Only five days out, however, Polaris was hit by the first of 80 brief but annoying squalls that would plague her throughout the passage. The frustrating wind constantly shifted, then halted altogether, leaving the boat becalmed. "This isn't what's supposed to happen, according to pilot charts," a puzzled skipper re-marked to Dr. Bruce Bongar, a psychiatrist from California who was sailing aboard Polaris as a student.

Early one morning about halfway between Mexico and the Marquesas, crewmember Marilyn Bruner was resting below, preparing for her watch, when she heard a loud snap followed by a scream. "We lost a shroud!" A quick glance confirmed the worst: a section of Polaris's standing rigging had collapsed on deck, carrying its tang with it. Fearing a dismasting, Con-nolly ordered all sails dropped. He jury-rigged a temporary shroud replacement with parts of the run-ning rigging. It took nearly two days for the crew to rig a semi-permanent repair on the shroud. Meanwhile, Polaris plodded along under power. A day later, however, the accumulated sludge in the diesel tank clogged the fuel lines; the engine sputtered and died. Polaris was left bobbing violently in a cross sea with 10- to 12-foot swells. El Nino? Hardly.

The cause of the shroud failure was faulty hardware installed in a previous yard haulout. The engine failure was one of those Murphy's Law incidents that followed. Yet John Connolly couldn't help but wonder: is there an El Nino jinx as well as El-Nino weathers Another day passed while the crew bled and rebled the fuel lines until the mutinous engine would start and run smoothly. In the interim, the engineless boat ran down-wind under bare poles and covered 95 miles in 24 hours. The exhausted crew peered through a driving rainstorm and pea-soup fog as Polaris, navigating by radar, felt her way into Nuku Hiva harbor. Fog in the Marquesas? "That's not in the cruising guides, either," the skipper recalled later, "but there it was, El Nino at work again."

Nuku Hiva was a scene of devastation, the legacy of a recent, unseasonable storm. Few homes still had roofs. The water in the harbor was an ugly brown color. "There's almost no clean drinking water left because of heavy runoff silting in the streams leading to the harbor," said Rose Courser, the owner of a local hotel and a longtime friend of visiting cruisers. "I've never seen any-thing like this here before." Connolly expected to see more cruising boats in Nuku Hiva; only one boat shared the anchorage with Polaris. "Last year in this same week," said Courser, "there were at least 35 visiting boats here." Remembering the many cruisers in Mexico who had decided to delay their Acapulco-Marquesas trip beyond the normal seasonal Coconut Run, Connolly concluded that concern over El Nino might have been the reason.

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